| “二元消费”影响下的镍供需形势分析 |
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| 关键词:nickel demand stainless steel battery vehicle nickel sulfate |
| 基金项目:中国地质调查局地质调查项目(编号: DD20160103; DD20190674);中国工程院重大咨询研究项目(编号: 2017-ZD-15-05-01) |
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| 摘要: |
| An Analysis of Nickel Supply and Demand Situation under the Influence of “Dual Consumption” |
| The stainless steel industry is the largest consumption area of nickel, and plays a decisive role in the global nickel consumption trend. In recent years, the electric vehicle industry has gradually developed, and the demand for nickel for power batteries has gradually gained attention. Nickel consumption in battery field is generally regarded as the most potential field. Based on the analysis of the history and current situation of nickel demand, this paper predicts that the future nickel demand for nickel will increase from 2.43 million tons in 2019 to 4.45 million tons in 2030, of which the stainless steel sector will be still the largest consumption area, and the battery sector will rise to the second largest consumption area. In combination with the global nickel resources and supply development, this paper points out that, due to the impact of the coronavirus, the tight supply and demand situation of nickel ore will be eased in 2020, but as the coronavirus will be alleviated in the future, nickel will still be in tight supply and demand in the next few years. In addition, through analyzing the nickel supply chain, this paper believes that market demand for nickel sulfate and nickel sulfide ore is expected to continue to grow in the future, which will form a strong support for the price of nickel salt, and will also promote hydrometallurgy production capacity development of global laterite nickel ore wet method. |
| XING Jia-yun,ZHANG Xiao-he,CHEN Qi-shen,YU Wen-jia,QI Gang,JIANG Ya,RU Cun-yi,REN Xin.2021.An Analysis of Nickel Supply and Demand Situation under the Influence of “Dual Consumption”[J].Acta Geoscientica Sinica,42(2):251-257. |
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