| 矿产资源开发利用上线划定方法与应用研究 |
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| 关键词:ecological civilization strategic mineral resources development and utilization intensity development and utilization upper limit |
| 基金项目:自然资源部部门预算项目“矿产资源战略2035研究”(编号: 121102000000180048);“压覆矿产审批管理研究及支撑体系建设”(编号: 121102000000180052);世界银行贷款资助项目“提高中国能源资源利用效率的政策;措施研究”(编号: A14-2018) |
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| 摘要: |
| Research on the Method and Application of Upper Limit Demarcation of Mineral Resources Development and Utilization |
| Accelerating the construction of natural (mineral) resources upper limit and implementing total resources management are the specific measures for the implementation of the central government's ecological civilization construction and the realization of economic transformation and development in the field of resources. In this paper, the authors analyzed the influencing factors of the upper limit demarcation of mineral resources development and utilization, introduced the index of development and utilization intensity, and constructed the development and utilization intensity index system. Taking the bulk strategic mineral iron ores as an example, the authors evaluated the intensity of iron ore development and utilization in China from 2009 to 2018 using AHP, and calculated as well as demarcated the upper limit index of iron ore development and utilization intensity. Then the authors established the upper limit model of iron ore development and utilization, and demarcated the iron ore development and utilization of China in the future based on the analysis of the development trend of iron and steel industry and reasonable hypothesis. The results show that, by 2020, 2025, 2030 and 2035, the upper limit of iron ore development and utilization will be 903 million tons, 862 million tons, 821 million tons and 790 million tons respectively. |
| LIU Chao,CHEN Jia-bin,HU Cong.2021.Research on the Method and Application of Upper Limit Demarcation of Mineral Resources Development and Utilization[J].Acta Geoscientica Sinica,42(2):167-178. |
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