ISSN 1006-3021 CN11-3474/P
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中国铝土矿可供性分析
  
关键词:bauxite  from 2016 to 2020  mineral availability analysis  policy proposition
基金项目:科技部国家国际科技合作专项“矿产资源需求预测和可供性分析技术研究”项目(编号: 2014DFG22170)
作者单位E-mail
江光宇 中国地质大学(北京)中国地质科学院全球矿产资源战略研究中心,国土资源部成矿作用与资源评价重点实验室 344418688@qq.com 
张照志 中国地质科学院全球矿产资源战略研究中心,国土资源部成矿作用与资源评价重点实验室中国地质科学院全球矿产资源战略研究中心 zhangzhaozhi@sina.com 
王贤伟 中国地质大学(北京)中国地质科学院全球矿产资源战略研究中心,国土资源部成矿作用与资源评价重点实验室  
张剑锋 中国地质大学(北京)中国地质科学院全球矿产资源战略研究中心,国土资源部成矿作用与资源评价重点实验室  
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摘要:
An Analysis of Bauxite Mineral Availability in China
      Under the condition of market economy, the availability of bauxite reserves and production in China are affected significantly by price fluctuations. Based on discounted cash flow finance analysis model, the authors compiled dynamic relationship figure between reserves, production and price. With the figure, we can visually know the supply capacity of bauxite reserves and production in different market prices and internal rates of return from 2016 to 2020. It can help government to formulate utilization planning of bauxite resources in the 13th Five-Year Plan or provide enterprise groups with dynamic management information of reserves so as to boost profitability. As can be seen from the analysis, although the mining industry is in the downturn, bauxite in China still has abundant reserves and strong supply from 2016 to 2020. The largest available reserves and production of identified and retained bauxite resources are respectively 3.182 billion tons and 64 million tons in 2016, and will be 2.878 billion tons and 73 million tons in 2020. It is imperative to fully consider the proper redistribution and reduce excess capacity with the purpose of prompting the development and utilization of bauxite resources in a sustainable way.
JIANG Guang-yu,ZHANG Zhao-zhi,WANG Xian-wei,ZHANG Jian-feng.2017.An Analysis of Bauxite Mineral Availability in China[J].Acta Geoscientica Sinica,38(1):85-93.
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