| 未来20年印度资源需求预测及中国应对策略研究 |
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| 关键词:India resource demand S shape principle coping strategies |
| 基金项目:中国地质调查局地质调查项目“中国能源与矿产资源安全支持平台建设与综合研究”(编号: 12120115056901)；“中国矿产资源全球配置综合研究与数据库支持平台建设”(编号: 12120113091800) |
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| 摘要: |
| A Study of the Prediction of Resources Demand and Economy of India and China’s Coping Strategies in the Upcoming 20 Years |
| India has been becoming one of the important countries in the world. In this paper, several related factors were systematically analyzed, such as population, characteristics of the economy and the consumption history of energy, iron, copper, aluminum in India. Reasonable economic analyzing models, methods of energy demand prediction and reliable data sets form the authority in this field were used to predict the development of population, expansion of economy and resources demand of India, on the basis of such aspects as the principle of GDP growth in ‘bell’ shape, principle of S shape, and data sets from World Bank. The following conclusions has been reached: 1) The economy of India might recreate the legendary of magical development with the increasing industrialization. 2) The demand of natural resources like energy, iron, copper, aluminum in India would be growing dramatically with the increasing industrialization, which means that India would succeed China and become the new engine for the resources demand in the world. 3) There exist not only new opportunities for upgrade of industries in China due to the development of India but also a touch competitor in future, especially for the demand of natural resources in international market. Therefore, Chinese companies have to build up their own core competitiveness and do their best to improve themselves with the development of India. |
| LI Xiao-ming,WANG An-jian.2017.A Study of the Prediction of Resources Demand and Economy of India and China’s Coping Strategies in the Upcoming 20 Years[J].Acta Geoscientica Sinica,38(1):45-53. |
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