| 全球天然气格局分析和我国的发展战略 |
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| 关键词:natural gas consumption supply and demand pattern strategy |
| 基金项目:中国地质调查局地质调查项目“境外油气(常规加非常规)资源配置及信息跟踪”(编号: 12120113091800) |
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| 摘要: |
| Global Pattern Analysis of Natural Gas and the Development Strategy in China |
| Owing to its clean and low-carbon properties, the natural gas is gaining universal attention all over the world. In the next 30~50 years, the consumption and proportion of the natural gas will be on the rise continually, and the natural gas is expected to be the first energy globally around 2040. Scientific analysis of its global supply-demand pattern and prediction of its future changes constitute the basis for making the natural gas development strategy in China. The severe separation of natural gas between production and consumption forms the basic supply-demand pattern at present. Nevertheless, since the beginning of the 21st century, the natural gas field has undergone many significant and profound changes, and the shale gas revolution has changed the supply pattern of the natural gas. The Russia-Ukraine dispute that happened in 2013 will alter the trade pattern of the natural gas and will also transform the intrinsic market system inevitably. The increase of demand for natural gas in China will be much faster than that of the output, which will result in the wider supply-demand gap in China. Building a scientific natural gas system based on green development, setting up the overall natural gas guarantee strategic thought which aims to deepen the reform to promote the harmonious development of natural gas industry, ensure the rapid growth of domestic reserves and production and expand the overseas diversified effective supply possess important theoretical and practical significance for the supply guarantee and the sustainable development of the natural gas industry in China. |
| YE Zhang-huang,WANG An-jian,YAN Qiang,WANG Gao-shang,ZHOU Feng-ying.2017.Global Pattern Analysis of Natural Gas and the Development Strategy in China[J].Acta Geoscientica Sinica,38(1):17-24. |
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