| 全球矿产资源需求周期与趋势 |
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| 关键词:demand of mineral resources cycle contribution rate of consumption elasticity |
| 基金项目:中国地质调查局地质调查项目“中国重要能源与矿产资源物质流综合研究”(编号: 12120115057601)；“中国能源与矿产资源安全支持平台建设与综合研究”(编号: 1212331599028) |
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| 摘要: |
| Cycles and Trends of Global Mineral Resources Demand |
| Based on the “S” shape theory of demand for mineral resources, this paper divides the countries in the world into four country groups and three typical countries according to the level of economic development. According to the consumption of steel, copper, lead, zinc and GDP from 1950 to 2014, this paper discusses three cycles of global resource consumption, and systematically analyzes the contribution proportions of various groups of countries to the global resource consumption growth during different periods, and the variation of elasticity of demand for resources. It is pointed out that the large countries’ industrialization and the global economic cycle have determined the resource demand cycle, and that the current state of the global downturn in demand for mineral resources will be further deepened, and this situation will last at least for 3~5 years. |
| WANG Gao-shang,DAI Tao,LIU Qun-yi.2017.Cycles and Trends of Global Mineral Resources Demand[J].Acta Geoscientica Sinica,38(1):11-16. |
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