| 矿产资源需求理论与模型预测 |
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| 关键词:mineral resources demand theory model prediction |
| 基金项目:地质调查项目(编号：N0702)和国家开发银行研究项目(编号：E0811) |
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| 摘要: |
| The Mineral Resources Demand Theory and the Prediction Model |
| This paper describes the energy and mineral resources demand theory centered on capita mineral resources consumption and capita GDP S-shaped rules, mineral resources consumption intensity reverse U-shaped rules and progressive laws of wave rules for mineral resources demand, and the energy and mineral resources synthetic prediction model based on the demand theory. The primary energy, crude steel, copper and aluminum demand tendency in China and the whole globe between 2010 and 2030 was predicted by using this model, and the results were compared with the results obtained by other prediction methods. On such a basis, it is concluded that this theoretical model is advanced and reliable. |
| WANG An-jian,WANG Gao-shang,CHEN Qi-shen,YU Wen-jia.2010.The Mineral Resources Demand Theory and the Prediction Model[J].Acta Geoscientica Sinica,31(2):137-147. |
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