ISSN 1006-3021 CN11-3474/P
Published bimonthly started in 1979
关键词:mineral resources  demand theory  model  prediction
王安建 中国地质科学院全球矿产资源战略研究中心 
王高尚 中国地质科学院全球矿产资源战略研究中心  
陈其慎 中国地质科学院全球矿产资源战略研究中心  
于汶加 中国地质科学院全球矿产资源战略研究中心  
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The Mineral Resources Demand Theory and the Prediction Model
      This paper describes the energy and mineral resources demand theory centered on capita mineral resources consumption and capita GDP S-shaped rules, mineral resources consumption intensity reverse U-shaped rules and progressive laws of wave rules for mineral resources demand, and the energy and mineral resources synthetic prediction model based on the demand theory. The primary energy, crude steel, copper and aluminum demand tendency in China and the whole globe between 2010 and 2030 was predicted by using this model, and the results were compared with the results obtained by other prediction methods. On such a basis, it is concluded that this theoretical model is advanced and reliable.
WANG An-jian,WANG Gao-shang,CHEN Qi-shen,YU Wen-jia.2010.The Mineral Resources Demand Theory and the Prediction Model[J].Acta Geoscientica Sinica,31(2):137-147.
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