ISSN 1006-3021 CN11-3474/P
Published bimonthly started in 1979
关键词:mineral consumption  per capita consumption  per capita GDP  predication of the consumption  China
王高尚 中国地质科学院全球矿产资源战略研究中心北京100037 
韩梅 中国地质科学院全球矿产资源战略研究中心北京100037 
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The Prediction of the Demand on Important Mineral Resources in China
      An "S"pattern between metals per capita consumption and GDP and a linear pattern between energy per capita consumption and GDP were used to predict the consumption of energy,steel,copper,aluminum and zinc in China in the forthcoming 30 years. The factors for the predication were derived from the experience of the developed countries in 20th Century, from China in the past 30 years, and also from two assumptions of GDP growing. The predictive consumption is very large in 2020-2030,but remains 1/4 to 1/3 of the per capita consumption as compared with the developed countries in 2000.
WANG Gao-shang,HAN Mei.2002.The Prediction of the Demand on Important Mineral Resources in China[J].Acta Geoscientica Sinica,23(6):483-490.
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