中国铷铯资源需求展望 |
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引用本文:高芯蕊,贾宏翔,李天骄,李维东,王安建.2023.中国铷铯资源需求展望[J].地球学报,44(2):279-285. |
DOI:10.3975/cagsb.2022.122501 |
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基金项目:国家自然科学基金重大研究计划集成项目“中国关键金属矿产清单厘定与风险评估”(编号: 92162321);国家自然科学基金重大项目“新时代战略性关键矿产资源安全与管理”课题5“新时代中国战略性关键矿产资源全球治理体系研究”(编号: 71991485);自然资源部自然资源科普与重大科技成果宣传项目(编号: 121113000000180001) |
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中文摘要:铷和铯是高新技术产业发展不可或缺的关键矿产, 全球资源相对丰富, 中国铯资源相对短缺, 其安全配置需要给予高度关注, 同时需要解决未来中国铷和铯需求预测的科学问题。本文通过调研, 从产业链分析入手, 构建了铷和铯的数据基础, 并尝试使用部门需求预测法和投入产出法, 对我国铷和铯的需求做出了研判。结论是国内铷和铯消费进入快速增长期, 2025年我国铯需求1000~1100 t, 铷需求约10 t。届时, 我国铷和铯的市场规模也将有较大膨胀。 |
中文关键词:铷和铯资源 消费结构 需求研判 展望 |
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Perspective of Rubidium and Caesium Resource Demand in China |
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Abstract:Rubidium and cesium are indispensable key mineral resources for the development of new technologies and are relatively abundant in the world. China has a relatively short supply of cesium resources, which require adherence to safety regulations. Simultaneously, it is necessary to predict the future demand for these resources, which is a difficult problem to solve. In this paper, the demand for rubidium and cesium in China was studied based on research and industry chain analysis. A database of rubidium and cesium was constructed in which an attempted prediction of the demand was made and the input-output method was tested. From this, we concluded that the domestic consumption of rubidium and cesium has entered a period of rapid growth. Our study revealed that the demand for cesium and rubidium in 2025 would be 1000–1100 tons and 10 tons, respectively, thus greatly expanding the market size in our country. |
keywords:rubidium and cesium resources consumption structure demand analysis perspective |
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