| 中国石油资源安全评价 |
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| 引用本文：李铭,王高尚,于汶加,刘占成.2010.中国石油资源安全评价[J].地球学报,31(5):686-692. |
| DOI：10.3975/cagsb.2010.05.11 |
| 摘要点击次数: 4939 |
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| 基金项目:地质调查项目(编号: N0702)；国家开发银行研究项目(编号: YWF0906) |
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| 中文摘要:通过分析石油安全的影响因素, 分短期和长期分别建立了石油安全评价指标体系。运用层次分析法评估了中国不同阶段的石油安全, 其结果表明: 石油市场(短期)安全随着价格变化而不断波动; 石油战略(长期)安全随着我国石油消费量的不断上升, 石油安全状况呈现下降趋势。 |
| 中文关键词:石油安全 层次分析法 趋势分析 |
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| An Evaluation of China's Oil Security |
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| Abstract:Based on analyzing the factors affecting oil security, this paper established the oil market (short-time) security evaluation index system and the oil strategic(long-time)security evaluation index system. AHP was employed to evaluate different stages of China’s oil security, and the results show that oil market (short-time) security fluctuates according to the oil price. As China's oil consumption is rising, the safety of the oil shows a downward trend. |
| keywords:oil security Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) trend analysis |
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